Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000295 0.000330 0.000368 0.000412 0.000463 0.000518 0.000583
2025-01-12 0.000224 0.000273 0.000330 0.000403 0.000495 0.000606 0.000752
2025-01-19 0.000178 0.000229 0.000294 0.000384 0.000503 0.000660 0.000883
2025-01-26 0.000155 0.000209 0.000282 0.000388 0.000538 0.000748 0.001067
2025-02-02 0.000142 0.000200 0.000282 0.000406 0.000592 0.000867 0.001312
2025-02-09 0.000126 0.000184 0.000268 0.000401 0.000611 0.000936 0.001490
2025-02-16 0.000115 0.000173 0.000261 0.000405 0.000642 0.001025 0.001712
2025-02-23 0.000104 0.000161 0.000250 0.000401 0.000659 0.001094 0.001910
2025-03-02 0.000096 0.000153 0.000244 0.000404 0.000686 0.001182 0.002156
2025-03-09 0.000089 0.000144 0.000236 0.000403 0.000707 0.001260 0.002394
2025-03-16 0.000079 0.000132 0.000220 0.000384 0.000694 0.001275 0.002509
2025-03-23 0.000074 0.000126 0.000215 0.000386 0.000718 0.001362 0.002785
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000124 0.000218 0.000402 0.000773 0.001522 0.003251
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000116 0.000208 0.000394 0.000779 0.001583 0.003516
2025-04-13 0.000058 0.000106 0.000193 0.000375 0.000760 0.001590 0.003658
2025-04-20 0.000055 0.000102 0.000191 0.000379 0.000791 0.001710 0.004094
2025-04-27 0.000054 0.000102 0.000194 0.000396 0.000854 0.001912 0.004779
2025-05-04 0.000050 0.000096 0.000188 0.000392 0.000866 0.001997 0.005176
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000093 0.000185 0.000395 0.000897 0.002132 0.005741
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000089 0.000180 0.000392 0.000911 0.002225 0.006205
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000086 0.000177 0.000394 0.000940 0.002363 0.006837
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000083 0.000173 0.000393 0.000960 0.002480 0.007430
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000077 0.000163 0.000375 0.000933 0.002466 0.007599